And an apology to all our supporters, but other priorities (personal and business) got in the way of weekly articles.

In addition - we debated time and time again if we even wanted to be involved in this FX industry at all.

All we see if misleading gurus destroying the expectations and robbing people of their hard earned money.

So we reinvented the newsletter, which will include a reviews page (in some type of free community) where all of our readers can report/ share their stories with any FX service, from prop firms to courses, the objective is to do what we can to bring transparency to the game, so look out for that in the coming months.

But for now - back to the charts and our weekly articles.

The latest U.S. CPI report showed headline inflation rising 0.2% m/m and 2.7% Y/Y, however in line with forecasts.

The FX market reacted dovishly, with the dollar softening pushing EUR/USD & GBP/USD higher as traders saw the data as supportive of short term Fed easing. Markets now pricing a 90 to 98% chance of a 25bp cut in September, with expectations for two or more reductions by year end.

Fed officials, however, remain cautious. Policymakers have emphasized the need for clearer evidence that inflation is firmly declining, citing sticky services prices and tariff risks. While markets are convinced cuts will begin in September, the Fed is signalling it may proceed more carefully to avoid loosening policy too quickly.

As we head into another data driven week, with PMI’s, FOMC, Unemployment claims and a speech from Fed head Powell, we take a look at entry points to continue the USD weakness expected to continue.

As we know, markets will go in discovery mode in search of value before the underlying sentiment takes control again.

GBPUSD

Looking for a deeper correction to trade out of value zones. Current levels pose the risk of deeper pullbacks before a real move higher continues.

Levels of interest are 1.3485 and 1.3400 for longs.

As always - take the market as it comes, nothing is fixed however as it stands, this is the plan for the following week. Likely there will be intraday shorting opportunities to take advantage of pushing the market into buy zones.

EURUSD

Similarly with EURUSD, we will be looking for a correction into the start of the week to take advantage of further USD weakness.

As the market unfolds, momentum and developing value will dictate whether we will achieve a pullback so deep in order to get the into the market at the best possible prices.

Important note: stay vigilant in the markets and don’t remain fixated on one idea. If momentum from new data supports a strong USD, avoid buying in unless all the cards align.

In addition to USD pairs, Gold is always on the radar. However, the issue this week is news driven moves, showing correlation with Gold and USD crosses.

I say this as I expect a sharp snap lower on Gold at any time, and remain cautious for buying back towards the highs.

If bullish momentum comes in strong once more, my bias may change, but for the meantime I see space to the downside after an impulse move higher, leaving easy swing lows to target for a correction.

It would be unlikely a move towards the highs or above comes from midrange, which is currently where the market is trading.

As global demand for the precious metal remains high, any dips will likely be bought up quite quickly, particularly above $3000.oz.

Trade idea: consider short positions a counter trend play, but expect a harsh sell off if it snaps. Allow the market to settle for at least 24 - 48 hours before considering long positions.

That’s all for this weekend and hopefully some of these ideas are useful for the week ahead. Currently there is no active channel or community where updates on ideas are posted.

I will be sharing my thoughts are the market develops via twitter once again. https://x.com/AaronSwney

Look out for unscheduled updates during the week.

All the best.